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FUEL
Petrol price relief on the cards
Posted Mon, 20 Feb 2006

The price of petrol could come down 16 cents a litre on the first Wednesday of March, T-Sec chief economist Mike Schussler said.

He further predicted a six cents fall in the diesel price.

Schussler said he expected a small decrease in April as well, despite a five cent a litre tax increase — for the Road Accident Fund — that kicks in that month.

The decreases would push down the consumer price index (mortgages excluded) from 4.2 to 4.1 percent.

"This means CPIX inflation will be below four percent by mid-year, raising the possibility of an interest-rate cut," Schussler said.

He said the decreases resulted from world oil prices falling in recent weeks on the news that the US had adequate reserves despite a cold winter, and an adequate supply of the liquid on world markets.

On Monday morning, the future oil price was under 59 dollars a barrel and the spot price under 60.

"This means the market is being driven by fundamentals, not speculation," Schussler said.

Sapa

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